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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Europe Division 2 Qualifier · 2025 · Women
26 May 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sweden started on 48%; Sweden batted first.
Sweden's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Isle of Man: 44% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eman Asimcaught · R Overman · Joanne Hicks 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Overman · b Joanne Hicks | 29 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 85.29 |
| A Vaidyabowled · A Thorpe 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Thorpe | 7 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 38.89 |
| E Thelandercaught · E Cleator · C Henery 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · E Cleator · b C Henery | 25 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 78.13 |
| Kanchan Rananot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 22 | 0 | 0 | 104.55 |
| G Shuklanot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 17 | 2 | 0 | 117.65 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 15 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Barnett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| C Perry0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
| A Thorpe1 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 4.00 | 2 | 1 |
| C Henery0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 4 | 1 |
| Joanne Hicks0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Danielle Murphy0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 6 | 1 |
1-20 (A Vaidya, 5.4) · 2-54 (Eman Asim, 11.0) · 3-93 (E Thelander, 15.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 20/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 29/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 33/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 37/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 46/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 54/2 |
| 12 | 15 | 69/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 74/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 80/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 86/2 |
| 16 | 7 | 93/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 98/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 107/3 |
| 19 | 7 | 114/3 |
| 20 | 9 | 123/3 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.