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Photo: Maghan mal
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
West Indies Women tour of Pakistan · 2024 · Women
28 Apr 2024 · T20
National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 37%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (West Indies: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gull Ferozastumped · Shemaine Campbelle · Karishma Ramharack 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Shemaine Campbelle · b Karishma Ramharack | 14 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 48.28 |
| Sidra Ameencaught · Hayley Matthews · Chinelle Henry 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hayley Matthews · b Chinelle Henry | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Muneeba Alistumped · Shemaine Campbelle · Hayley Matthews 5 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Shemaine Campbelle · b Hayley Matthews | 55 | 47 | 5 | 0 | 117.02 |
| Nida Darcaught · Cherry-Ann Fraser · Hayley Matthews 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cherry-Ann Fraser · b Hayley Matthews | 13 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 92.86 |
| Aliya Riazlbw · Afy Fletcher 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Afy Fletcher | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Ayesha Zafarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Diana Baigcaught · Chinelle Henry · Hayley Matthews 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chinelle Henry · b Hayley Matthews | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Najiha Alvirun out · Hayley Matthews, Aaliyah Alleyne · Hayley Matthews 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hayley Matthews, Aaliyah Alleyne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherry-Ann Fraser0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 3 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| Qiana Joseph0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 1 | 1 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-23 (Sidra Ameen, 3.4) · 2-52 (Gull Feroza, 9.4) · 3-93 (Nida Dar, 15.3) · 4-102 (Aliya Riaz, 17.0) · 5-117 (Muneeba Ali, 19.2) · 6-119 (Diana Baig, 19.4) · 7-121 (Najiha Alvi, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 30/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 33/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 46/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 51/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 53/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 58/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 69/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 74/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 81/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 88/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 94/3 |
| 17 | 8 | 102/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 110/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 116/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 121/7 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamilia Connell: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.