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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Sept 2025 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographSomerset started on 59%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Lancashire: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smeedbowled · George Balderson 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b George Balderson | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
6 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b George Balderson | 81 | 52 | 6 | 4 | 155.77 |
3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b James Anderson | 26 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 185.71 |
| James Rewcaught · Tom Hartley · Tom Aspinwall 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Hartley · b Tom Aspinwall | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| stumped · Matthew Hurst · b Tom Hartley |
| 16 |
| 16 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Hartley · b James Anderson | 15 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ben Greencaught · Jack Blatherwick · George Balderson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b George Balderson | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 6 | 3 | 0 | 266.67 |
|---|
1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 3 | 1 | 1 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tom Aspinwall1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 4 | 0 |
| George Balderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| Liam Livingstone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Will Smeed, 2.1) · 2-49 (Tom Abell, 6.0) · 3-62 (James Rew, 7.4) · 4-93 (Sean Dickson, 12.1) · 5-150 (Lewis Gregory, 17.2) · 6-154 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 18.2) · 7-161 (Ben Green, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 15 | 49/2 |
| 7 | 12 | 61/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 65/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 70/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 78/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 85/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 93/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 95/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 106/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 116/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 127/4 |
| 17 | 18 | 145/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 153/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 161/7 |
| 20 | 21 | 182/7 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Migael Pretorius: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.