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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
18 Jul 2025 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Leicestershire started on 53%; Leicestershire batted first.
Leicestershire's chances ranged from 34% to 97% during the match (Yorkshire: 3% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rishi Patelcaught · James Wharton · Dan Moriarty 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Wharton · b Dan Moriarty | 15 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Sol Budingercaught · Jordan Thompson · Dan Moriarty 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jordan Thompson · b Dan Moriarty | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 280.00 |
 Shan Masoodbowled · Will Sutherland3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Will Sutherland | 21 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 150.00 |
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · William Luxton · Jordan Thompson5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · William Luxton · b Jordan Thompson | 43 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 148.28 |
| lbw · b Will Sutherland |
| 43 |
| 27 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 159.26 |
| Louis Kimbercaught · Harry Duke · Jordan Thompson 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Harry Duke · b Jordan Thompson | 27 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 225.00 |
|---|
| Logan van Beekcaught and bowled · Matt Milnes 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matt Milnes | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Ian Hollandcaught · Dawid Malan · Matt Milnes1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dawid Malan · b Matt Milnes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Tom Scrivencaught · Will Sutherland · Matt Milnes 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Sutherland · b Matt Milnes | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Josh Thomasnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Josh Hullbowled · Will Sutherland 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Will Sutherland | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Milnes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 3 | 12.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Dan Moriarty0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.22 | 3 | 0 |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 11.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Jordan Thompson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Revis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (Sol Budinger, 1.3) · 2-31 (Rishi Patel, 3.2) · 3-52 (Shan Masood, 5.1) · 4-133 (Rehan Ahmed, 12.5) · 5-161 (Ben Cox, 15.2) · 6-167 (Logan van Beek, 16.1) · 7-171 (Ian Holland, 16.3) · 8-173 (Tom Scriven, 17.0) · 9-173 (Louis Kimber, 17.1) · 10-185 (Josh Hull, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 15/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 25/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 36/2 |
| 5 | 16 | 52/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 62/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 68/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 75/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 81/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 91/3 |
| 11 | 17 | 108/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 119/3 |
| 13 | 14 | 133/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 139/4 |
| 15 | 22 | 161/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 167/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 173/8 |
| 18 | 10 | 183/9 |
| 19 | 2 | 185/10 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ian Holland: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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