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Malta Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2024/25 · Men
5 Feb 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Austria started on 69%; Austria batted first.
Austria's chances ranged from 1% to 69% during the match (Hungary: 31% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Zalmailbw · SA Mohandas 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b SA Mohandas | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Aqib Iqbalcaught · TV Valivarthi · Abbas Ghani 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · TV Valivarthi · b Abbas Ghani | 31 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 103.33 |
| Razmal Shigiwalcaught · JN du Plooy · Muhammad Saqlain 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JN du Plooy · b Muhammad Saqlain | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| M Simpson-Parkercaught · MP Ainsworth · Muhammad Saqlain 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MP Ainsworth · b Muhammad Saqlain | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| H Khogiyanicaught · JN du Plooy · Muhammad Saqlain 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · JN du Plooy · b Muhammad Saqlain | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 183.33 |
| Umair Tariqcaught · JN du Plooy · Muhammad Saqlain 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · JN du Plooy · b Muhammad Saqlain |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Arsalan Arifcaught · JN du Plooy · Abbas Ghani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JN du Plooy · b Abbas Ghani | 19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Q Utmanzaicaught · TV Valivarthi · Muhammad Saqlain 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · TV Valivarthi · b Muhammad Saqlain | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Hamid Safilbw · Abbas Ghani 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Abbas Ghani | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sahel Zadrancaught and bowled · Abbas Ghani 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Abbas Ghani | 10 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Itibarshah Deedarnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA Mohandas0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Saqlain0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 5 | 8.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Amal Jacob0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Sheikh Rasik0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Abbas Ghani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 4.42 | 0 | 0 |
| MP Ainsworth0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 1 |
1-0 (Bilal Zalmai, 0.2) · 2-8 (Razmal Shigiwal, 2.0) · 3-29 (M Simpson-Parker, 4.0) · 4-42 (H Khogiyani, 5.4) · 5-42 (Umair Tariq, 6.0) · 6-70 (Aqib Iqbal, 10.3) · 7-80 (Arsalan Arif, 12.3) · 8-80 (Hamid Safi, 12.5) · 9-83 (Q Utmanzai, 13.5) · 10-98 (Sahel Zadran, 16.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 8 | 16/2 |
| 4 | 13 | 29/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 31/3 |
| 6 | 11 | 42/5 |
| 7 | 4 | 46/5 |
| 8 | 4 | 50/5 |
| 9 | 13 | 63/5 |
| 10 | 5 | 68/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 73/6 |
| 12 | 5 | 78/6 |
| 13 | 2 | 80/8 |
| 14 | 3 | 83/9 |
| 15 | 7 | 90/9 |
| 16 | 8 | 98/9 |
| 17 | 0 | 98/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.