Sunrisers HyderabadversusMumbai Indians

6 May 2024 · T20

Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Mumbai Indians won by 7 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs173/8 Mumbai Indians17.2 overs174/3 Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 46%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Mumbai Indians is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 0% to 76% during the match (Mumbai Indians: 24% to 100%).

Biggest swings

12.1: PP Chawla to H Klaasen, H Klaasen out. Mumbai Indians up from 60% to 70%.
2nd inns 3.2: PJ Cummins to RG Sharma, RG Sharma out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 40% to 56%.
2nd inns 4.1: B Kumar to Naman Dhir, Naman Dhir out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 59% to 75%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad173/8 Mumbai Indians174/3

Innings 1