Lucknow Super GiantsversusDelhi Capitals

12 Apr 2024 · T20

Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Delhi Capitals won by 6 wickets

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs167/7 Delhi Capitals18.1 overs170/4 Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 62%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 76% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 24% to 100%).

Biggest swings

9.3: Kuldeep Yadav to KL Rahul, KL Rahul out. Delhi Capitals up from 46% to 61%.
2nd inns 3.3: Yash Thakur to DA Warner, DA Warner out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 51% to 63%.
2nd inns 6.6: Ravi Bishnoi to PP Shaw, PP Shaw out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 35% to 47%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lucknow Super Giants167/7 Delhi Capitals170/4

Innings 1