Trinbago Knight RidersversusJamaica Kingsmen

15 Aug 2026 · T20

Sabina Park · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Jamaica Kingsmen won by 5 wickets

Trinbago Knight Riders20.0 overs182/6 Jamaica Kingsmen18.4 overs183/5 Sabina Park ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Trinbago Knight Riders started on 59%; Trinbago Knight Riders batted first.

Trinbago Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Jamaica Kingsmen is the rest

Trinbago Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 74% during the match (Jamaica Kingsmen: 26% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 13.3: KA Pollard to KU Carty, KU Carty out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 28% to 41%.
2nd inns 15.2: T Hinds to AD Russell, six by AD Russell. Jamaica Kingsmen up from 42% to 54%.
2nd inns 16.1: N Edward to AD Russell, six by AD Russell. Jamaica Kingsmen up from 76% to 91%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Trinbago Knight Riders182/6 Jamaica Kingsmen183/5

Innings 1