OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
England tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Men
29 Oct 2025 · ODI
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
England started on 24%; England batted first.
England's chances ranged from 0% to 26% during the match (New Zealand: 74% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jamie Smithcaught · Kane Williamson · Zakary Foulkes1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kane Williamson · b Zakary Foulkes | 13 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 76.47 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Tom Latham · Jacob Duffy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Jacob Duffy | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
 Joe Rootcaught · Tom Latham · Blair Tickner3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Blair Tickner | 25 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 73.53 |
| Jacob Bethellcaught · Zakary Foulkes · Nathan Smith 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zakary Foulkes · b Nathan Smith |
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 28 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 64.29 |
 Harry Brookcaught · Will Young · Mitchell Santner3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Mitchell Santner | 34 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Jos Buttlerlbw · Nathan Smith0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Nathan Smith | 9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 90.00 |
|---|
 Sam Curranbowled · Michael Bracewell1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Michael Bracewell | 17 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 62.96 |
|---|
 Jamie Overtoncaught · Mitchell Santner · Blair Tickner4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b Blair Tickner | 42 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Brydon Carsecaught · Daryl Mitchell · Blair Tickner0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daryl Mitchell · b Blair Tickner | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Jofra Archernot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
 Adil Rashidcaught · Michael Bracewell · Blair Tickner0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b Blair Tickner | 9 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacob Duffy2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 2.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 6.60 | 0 | 0 |
 Blair Tickner1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 34 | 4 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 5.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 48 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Ben Duckett, 2.1) · 2-29 (Jamie Smith, 6.0) · 3-51 (Joe Root, 12.0) · 4-63 (Jacob Bethell, 16.1) · 5-81 (Jos Buttler, 19.0) · 6-105 (Harry Brook, 23.2) · 7-143 (Sam Curran, 28.4) · 8-164 (Brydon Carse, 31.5) · 9-165 (Jamie Overton, 33.1) · 10-175 (Adil Rashid, 36.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 26/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 32/2 |
| 8 | 13 | 45/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 47/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 49/2 |
| 11 | 0 | 49/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 51/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 54/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 55/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 62/3 |
| 16 | 1 | 63/3 |
| 17 | 2 | 65/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 76/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 81/5 |
| 20 | 3 | 84/5 |
| 21 | 10 | 94/5 |
| 22 | 10 | 104/5 |
| 23 | 1 | 105/5 |
| 24 | 4 | 109/6 |
| 25 | 9 | 118/6 |
| 26 | 8 | 126/6 |
| 27 | 5 | 131/6 |
| 28 | 10 | 141/6 |
| 29 | 2 | 143/7 |
| 30 | 13 | 156/7 |
| 31 | 6 | 162/7 |
| 32 | 3 | 165/8 |
| 33 | 0 | 165/8 |
| 34 | 3 | 168/9 |
| 35 | 7 | 175/9 |
| 36 | 0 | 175/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adil Rashid: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(Archer_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
_-_Sam_Curran_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
