Chattogram RoyalsversusNoakhali Express

26 Dec 2025 · T20

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Chattogram Royals won by 65 runs

Chattogram Royals20.0 overs174/6 Noakhali Express16.5 overs109/10 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Chattogram Royals started on 47%; Chattogram Royals batted first.

Chattogram Royals’s chance of winning (%) · Noakhali Express is the rest

Chattogram Royals's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Noakhali Express: 0% to 55%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 2.3: Shoriful Islam to Habibur Rahman, Habibur Rahman out. Chattogram Royals up from 46% to 59%.
2nd inns 3.4: Mahedi Hasan to Sabbir Hossain, Sabbir Hossain out. Chattogram Royals up from 59% to 72%.
2nd inns 4.5: Tanvir Islam to Shykat Ali, Shykat Ali out. Chattogram Royals up from 66% to 80%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Chattogram Royals174/6 Noakhali Express109/10

Innings 1